Inter are winless in six UEFA Champions League (UCL) games (D3, L3), with their 2-1 defeat at Barcelona on matchday two being the fifth in that sequence to separate the teams by under 1.5 goals. On a more positive note, two of those three draws (all ending 1-1) saw Inter equalize after conceding an opener beyond the hour mark.
The ‘Nerazzurri’ is, at least, unbeaten in their last five UCL games at the San Siro (W2, D3 - GF 7, GA 5). All matches saw both teams score, as part of a run of eight straight UCL home games separating the teams by less than 1.5 goals.
With Borussia Dortmund’s last ten UCL games (W5, D2, L3) seeing at least one team draw a blank, the first goal here may well be vital. Their last three victories in that sequence saw them win both halves, win the first half 1-0, and score at least once beyond the 75th minute.
Additionally, Dortmund has won every one of the last 11 UCL away games to see them score first. Seven of the last eight games in that group saw them win the first half with a clean sheet.
Players to watch: Nicolò Barella scored Inter’s last-ditch equalizer in their UCL group stage home opener. In turn, four of his last five competitive goals (including three penalties) have arrived beyond the hour-mark. Dortmund’s Achraf Hakimi was at the double in the German side’s last UCL away game. Both goals arrived in the final 15 minutes of their respective halves.
Stat attack: All seven of Inter’s goals across their last five UCL home games have arrived beyond the 70th minute. Sixteen of Inter’s last 17 UCL goals scored/conceded at home have arrived in the second half. Seven of Dortmund’s last nine UCL away wins have seen them score first inside the opening 15 minutes.
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